Valenciennes vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
CAE
3 - 1
VAL
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 0
ASS
35%
29%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
TFC
2 - 1
VAL
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 2
NIC
42%
29%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
AUX
2 - 0
VAL
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 0
LYO
15%
24%
61%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
LMU
0 - 1
LOR
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 1
LIL
32%
31%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
MET
1 - 2
LOR
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 0
LMU
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |