Valenciennes vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1978 |
PFC
0 - 2
VAL
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1978 |
TRO
2 - 1
VAL
54%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 1
NÎM
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
MET
1 - 1
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
VAL
0 - 2
NAN
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1978 |
LIL
4 - 3
ASN
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1977 |
REI
3 - 1
LIL
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1977 |
LIL
1 - 2
NÎM
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
ASN
3 - 0
LIL
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1977 |
LIL
3 - 0
LYO
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |