Valenciennes vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
SOC
2 - 1
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
VAL
2 - 0
REN
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
BAS
4 - 0
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1976 |
VAL
3 - 1
MAR
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1976 |
MET
2 - 2
VAL
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
LIL
1 - 0
ASS
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
LEN
4 - 2
LIL
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
LIL
3 - 3
STL
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1976 |
MET
3 - 1
LIL
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1976 |
LIL
0 - 2
NIC
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |