Valenciennes vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1965 |
MON
1 - 1
VAL
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
VAL
2 - 0
ASS
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1965 |
NAN
1 - 0
VAL
59%
20%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
SOC
3 - 2
VAL
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
VAL
1 - 1
SED
43%
25%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1965 |
LIL
3 - 2
REN
54%
22%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
ANG
1 - 1
LIL
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
LIL
2 - 1
NÎM
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
LIL
2 - 2
LYO
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
LEN
0 - 1
LIL
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |