Valenciennes vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
AMI
0 - 0
VAL
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 1
AJA
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LHA
2 - 2
VAL
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 0
STL
54%
27%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
BRE
3 - 2
VAL
40%
30%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
LEN
4 - 2
ORL
46%
28%
27%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
CLE
1 - 1
LEN
41%
27%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
BOU
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
TRO
1 - 1
LEN
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
LEN
0 - 0
PFC
56%
26%
19%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |