Valenciennes vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
63.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2001 |
VAL
0 - 2
GRE
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2001 |
OLY
1 - 0
VAL
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
VAL
0 - 0
NOI
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
AMI
4 - 1
VAL
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
CSL
6 - 3
VAL
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
GUI
1 - 0
LEN
32%
28%
41%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
MON
4 - 1
LEN
52%
25%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
LEN
7 - 0
BAS
61%
22%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
TRO
1 - 1
LEN
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
LEN
1 - 0
SED
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |