Valenciennes vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1977 |
REI
3 - 0
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1977 |
VAL
1 - 1
NIC
41%
27%
31%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
ASN
3 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
VAL
2 - 0
NÎM
52%
27%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1977 |
ANG
0 - 0
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1977 |
LEN
2 - 1
STL
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1977 |
LEN
1 - 1
ASN
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1977 |
LEN
1 - 1
NIC
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
GIR
5 - 2
LEN
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1977 |
REI
2 - 0
LEN
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |