Valenciennes vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1966 |
STR
4 - 1
VAL
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1966 |
VAL
0 - 1
GIR
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1966 |
MAR
2 - 1
VAL
30%
26%
45%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1966 |
VAL
4 - 1
ANG
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1966 |
SED
2 - 2
VAL
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1966 |
LEN
2 - 1
REN
40%
23%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
NAN
3 - 1
LEN
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
LEN
2 - 2
SED
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1966 |
LYO
3 - 2
LEN
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1966 |
LEN
0 - 1
TFC
45%
24%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |