Valenciennes vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
47%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
CHE
4 - 2
VAL
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2002 |
VAL
1 - 1
FCM
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
VAL
1 - 1
VIR
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
PAU
4 - 1
VAL
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAN
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
LIL
1 - 0
LHA
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
LEN
1 - 0
LHA
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ASS
1 - 0
LHA
44%
28%
29%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
LHA
1 - 0
GIR
26%
27%
46%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 2
LHA
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |