Valenciennes vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 1
VAL
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
VAL
1 - 1
SED
37%
30%
34%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2005 |
IST
1 - 4
VAL
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
VAL
2 - 1
SÈT
47%
27%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
GUI
0 - 2
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
FCG
2 - 1
CHA
31%
29%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
MPL
3 - 1
FCG
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2005 |
FCG
1 - 0
LHA
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCG
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
LOR
2 - 0
FCG
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |