Valenciennes vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
LYO
2 - 0
VAL
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
REN
0 - 2
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
GIR
2 - 1
VAL
56%
25%
20%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 0
PSG
33%
31%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
LIL
3 - 0
VAL
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CAE
3 - 2
LMU
37%
27%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 3
LYO
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
MON
0 - 0
CAE
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 0
LIL
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 0
CAE
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |