Valenciennes vs Bourg-Péronnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
11º
10º
24
4º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 51 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 50 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 48 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 47 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 32 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 30 |
17º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
USB
0 - 0
VAL
34%
27%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
IRI
3 - 3
VAL
9%
17%
74%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
DIJ
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
SOC
2 - 0
VAL
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
COM
0 - 3
VAL
7%
15%
78%
|
63 | 24 | 39 | +1 |
Matches
Bourg-Péronnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 1
NÎM
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 2
RVA
66%
20%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 0
BOU
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 1
AUB
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ANN
0 - 6
BOU
7%
13%
80%
|
59 | 9 | 50 | +1 |