Valenciennes vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
7º
7º
6
7º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
7 | 55 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 54 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 53 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 50 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 50 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 45 |
7º
|
5.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 44 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 42 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 42 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 40 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 35 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 28 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10% | 6% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 79% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
NÎM
41%
26%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 0
AUB
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 2
TRO
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KSC
0 - 1
VAL
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 4
HEL
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
BOU
42%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NÎM
1 - 0
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
USB
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
ALG
28%
27%
44%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
POI
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |