Valenciennes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PAU
1 - 1
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 2
QUE
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
TFC
1 - 0
VAL
71%
18%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 4
ROD
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ASN
0 - 1
VAL
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
CAE
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
DIJ
2 - 1
BAS
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 0
LHA
45%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PAU
2 - 0
BAS
40%
27%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
QUE
1 - 2
BAS
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |