Valenciennes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
40%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 2
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
VAL
2 - 0
GRE
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
FCG
2 - 0
VAL
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
VAL
2 - 1
DIJ
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2005 |
VAL
1 - 1
BAY
66%
22%
13%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
BAS
4 - 1
BRE
66%
22%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
AMI
1 - 2
BAS
32%
29%
39%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 1
LUS
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 1
BAS
36%
28%
35%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
STR
2 - 0
BAS
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |