Valenciennes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
42.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
ANG
1 - 0
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1978 |
VAL
0 - 1
GIR
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1978 |
NIC
3 - 4
VAL
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1978 |
VAL
0 - 0
ASS
37%
29%
35%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
MET
1 - 0
VAL
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 3
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1978 |
BAS
3 - 0
SOC
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1978 |
ANG
0 - 2
BAS
31%
26%
42%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1978 |
BAS
5 - 2
NIC
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1978 |
GIR
2 - 0
BAS
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |