Valenciennes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 1
VAL
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1977 |
VAL
1 - 1
MET
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
TRO
2 - 1
VAL
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
NAN
3 - 1
VAL
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
VAL
1 - 2
STL
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 1
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1977 |
NAN
3 - 1
BAS
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1977 |
BAS
3 - 2
LEN
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
NIC
5 - 0
BAS
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
BAS
4 - 1
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |