Valenciennes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1969 |
LYO
1 - 0
VAL
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1969 |
VAL
0 - 0
NÎM
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1969 |
STR
0 - 1
VAL
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1969 |
VAL
4 - 1
REN
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1969 |
NIC
1 - 1
VAL
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1969 |
SED
5 - 1
BAS
55%
21%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
BAS
1 - 0
AJA
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1969 |
ASS
7 - 2
BAS
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1969 |
BAS
3 - 1
NAN
36%
23%
41%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1969 |
BAS
1 - 0
SOC
50%
25%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |