Valenciennes vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1980 |
PSG
3 - 2
VAL
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1980 |
VAL
1 - 2
STR
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1980 |
ANG
1 - 1
VAL
54%
24%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1980 |
VAL
1 - 1
BAS
44%
27%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1980 |
LYO
1 - 1
VAL
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1980 |
LIL
2 - 3
AUX
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1980 |
AUX
0 - 1
PSG
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1980 |
STR
1 - 0
AUX
65%
18%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1980 |
AUX
2 - 2
ANG
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1980 |
BAS
2 - 0
AUX
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |