Valenciennes vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
11º
8º
27
4º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 57 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 52 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 51 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 51 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 50 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 48 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 46 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 35 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 32 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 27 |
17º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 6% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 2
TRO
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KSC
0 - 1
VAL
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 4
HEL
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 3
UMM
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
UNF
1 - 2
VAL
10%
16%
74%
|
60 | 14 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 1
AUB
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NÎM
1 - 2
AUB
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 0
AUB
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AUB
0 - 0
AND
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
THO
1 - 1
AUB
33%
27%
41%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |