Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
Valencia Mestalla vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
VIL
3 - 1
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
VAL
0 - 0
LOR
57%
24%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
VIL
1 - 2
VAL
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
CIE
2 - 0
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
VAL
2 - 3
OLI
53%
24%
24%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
VIL
3 - 1
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
LEV
2 - 0
VIL
72%
20%
8%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
VIL
1 - 2
VAL
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAL
20%
31%
49%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIL
53%
24%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |