Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-2
Valencia Mestalla vs FC Vilafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
PAI
0 - 0
VAL
25%
27%
49%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
VAL
1 - 1
OLI
88%
9%
3%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
VIL
2 - 1
VAL
21%
22%
57%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
VIL
4 - 0
VAL
22%
28%
50%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
VAL
2 - 0
OND
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
FC Vilafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
VIL
2 - 1
OLO
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
CAL
6 - 0
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
VIL
2 - 1
VAL
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
VIL
1 - 2
STB
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
LLE
1 - 1
VIL
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |