Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-2
Valencia Mestalla vs Sevilla At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
VIL
2 - 1
VAL
74%
19%
7%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
VAL
2 - 2
CFC
45%
31%
24%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
ALZ
1 - 0
VAL
73%
19%
8%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
VAL
1 - 2
IBI
47%
30%
23%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
ALM
3 - 0
VAL
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
SEV
3 - 1
LEV
30%
31%
39%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
ATB
2 - 0
SEV
66%
23%
11%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
SEV
2 - 0
ELD
45%
31%
24%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
CDZ
3 - 2
SEV
71%
20%
9%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
SEV
0 - 3
ALM
35%
33%
32%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |