Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-3
Valencia Mestalla vs SD Indautxu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
LLE
2 - 1
VAL
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1966 |
VAL
3 - 2
CON
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
BET
5 - 0
VAL
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1966 |
VAL
2 - 2
CEU
73%
16%
11%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
VAL
4 - 3
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SD Indautxu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
SDI
2 - 1
RAY
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
VAD
3 - 1
SDI
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
SDI
1 - 0
CEL
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
RAC
2 - 0
SDI
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
SDI
0 - 0
PUE
66%
18%
15%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |