Valencia Mestalla vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1957 |
PUE
3 - 4
VAL
51%
22%
27%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
VAL
3 - 1
GRA
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
CAD
1 - 0
VAL
65%
19%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
CDT
6 - 1
VAL
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
VAL
0 - 4
ALI
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1957 |
SDC
3 - 0
ALI
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
BET
3 - 0
SDC
76%
14%
9%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
SDC
2 - 1
ELD
67%
18%
16%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
CDB
2 - 3
SDC
74%
15%
11%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
SDC
1 - 0
ALG
65%
18%
17%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |