Valencia Mestalla vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
MLL
4 - 1
VAL
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1966 |
VAL
0 - 0
ALG
70%
18%
13%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
LEV
1 - 0
VAL
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1966 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAD
70%
18%
13%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
EUR
1 - 2
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
REC
3 - 1
MUR
48%
28%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
CDC
1 - 1
REC
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1966 |
REC
0 - 0
CAS
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
BAD
2 - 1
REC
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
REC
2 - 1
CEU
52%
25%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |