Valencia Mestalla vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
GRA
0 - 1
VAL
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1968 |
VAL
8 - 0
CON
73%
16%
12%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
REC
2 - 1
VAL
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1968 |
VAL
0 - 1
XER
77%
14%
9%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
CDT
2 - 1
VAL
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
MUR
1 - 0
CEU
58%
25%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
CAS
1 - 0
MUR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
MUR
0 - 0
RJA
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
MUR
4 - 0
MLL
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |