Valencia Mestalla vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
UDL
2 - 0
VAL
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
CEU
1 - 1
VAL
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1962 |
VAL
8 - 1
SFE
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
VIL
2 - 1
VAL
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1962 |
VAL
4 - 0
RJA
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
CEU
2 - 1
MUR
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
SFE
0 - 1
MUR
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
MUR
4 - 1
VIL
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
RJA
0 - 0
MUR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
MUR
1 - 1
CFC
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |