Valencia Mestalla vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1947 |
VAL
6 - 5
RCF
37%
22%
41%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
BAD
7 - 3
VAL
59%
18%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
VAL
3 - 2
MAL
48%
23%
30%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
HER
4 - 0
VAL
80%
12%
8%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
VAL
2 - 0
RCD
37%
23%
39%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1947 |
MUR
0 - 1
BAD
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
MAL
3 - 2
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
MUR
2 - 1
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
RCD
0 - 0
MUR
49%
23%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1947 |
MUR
4 - 1
BAR
64%
19%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +2 |