Valencia Mestalla vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
3.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.9%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.2%
5-0
7%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.6%
3.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
LEV
1 - 0
VAL
87%
8%
5%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1948 |
VAL
5 - 0
GRA
50%
21%
28%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
MLL
1 - 1
VAL
71%
16%
13%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1948 |
VAL
8 - 3
VAD
50%
21%
29%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
DEP
6 - 0
VAL
81%
12%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
IMP
8 - 1
ELD
63%
18%
19%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
RJA
4 - 0
IMP
60%
19%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
IMP
2 - 0
CAA
74%
14%
12%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 1948 |
IMP
1 - 0
CRE
76%
14%
11%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
CRE
1 - 1
IMP
47%
21%
32%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |