Valencia Mestalla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
MUR
2 - 1
VAL
56%
21%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1952 |
VAL
3 - 0
GRA
69%
17%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1952 |
VAL
3 - 1
RJA
72%
15%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
CAT
1 - 1
VAL
62%
20%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1952 |
VAL
0 - 1
UDL
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
RJA
2 - 0
HER
62%
19%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
MEL
2 - 1
RJA
68%
16%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
ORI
4 - 1
RJA
35%
22%
43%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
RJA
5 - 0
MEL
60%
19%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1952 |
VAL
3 - 1
RJA
72%
15%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |