Valencia Mestalla vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
CEU
2 - 2
VAL
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1965 |
VAL
0 - 0
LEV
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
PUE
3 - 1
VAL
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
RMA
6 - 0
VAL
93%
5%
2%
|
63 | 93 | 30 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1965 |
VAL
2 - 1
RMA
19%
22%
58%
|
61 | 93 | 32 | +2 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
RAY
1 - 0
CAD
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
HER
1 - 0
RAY
75%
15%
10%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
RAY
3 - 0
CDB
76%
15%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
UBC
1 - 3
RAY
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
RAY
1 - 0
PUL
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |