Valencia Mestalla vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
VAL
2 - 3
SPO
47%
22%
32%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
RAC
0 - 1
VAL
73%
15%
13%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
VAL
1 - 2
GRA
50%
22%
28%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
6 - 2
VAL
79%
12%
9%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
VAL
3 - 1
CAS
46%
21%
33%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
RCF
0 - 1
LEV
53%
20%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
SPO
6 - 1
RCF
62%
18%
20%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
RCF
4 - 0
BAD
61%
19%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
RAC
1 - 2
RCF
63%
17%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
RCF
3 - 4
RSO
41%
23%
36%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |