Valencia Mestalla vs Peña Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BEN
3 - 1
VAL
49%
27%
24%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 2
SAB
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ORI
0 - 2
VAL
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 0
ONT
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ALZ
1 - 1
VAL
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
PXD
3 - 1
GAV
27%
28%
46%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
TER
1 - 0
PXD
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
PXD
1 - 1
BAD
23%
27%
49%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
OSA
1 - 0
PXD
58%
24%
19%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
IBI
1 - 2
PXD
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |