Valencia Mestalla vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
VAL
2 - 0
MER
61%
20%
20%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2002 |
MER
0 - 0
VAL
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2002 |
FCB
0 - 1
VAL
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2002 |
VAL
0 - 1
COM
42%
25%
34%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
COM
2 - 0
VAL
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
ATB
0 - 2
NOV
35%
29%
36%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
ULP
0 - 0
NOV
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
NOV
0 - 0
PPJ
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
NOV
2 - 1
BEN
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
CAS
0 - 5
NOV
42%
29%
29%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |