Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Valencia Mestalla vs México FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
VAL
7 - 0
RIB
82%
13%
6%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAT
0 - 0
VAL
14%
25%
61%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
6 - 0
NOV
68%
20%
13%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
NUC
0 - 2
VAL
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
LEV
83%
13%
5%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
ALC
5 - 1
COS
85%
12%
4%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
POZ
2 - 0
ALC
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 0
NAV
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
VLO
1 - 0
ALC
30%
26%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ALC
5 - 2
VAL
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |