Valencia Mestalla vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
MAL
3 - 0
VAL
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
CAT
4 - 1
VAL
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
VAL
2 - 0
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
MUR
3 - 2
VAL
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1953 |
VAL
1 - 3
GRA
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
MEL
2 - 0
MLL
59%
20%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
MEL
1 - 0
CAS
76%
14%
10%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
CDT
6 - 1
MEL
65%
19%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
UDL
4 - 0
MEL
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
XER
3 - 0
MEL
60%
20%
19%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |