Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-6
Valencia Mestalla vs FC Jove Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
CFC
2 - 0
VAL
69%
20%
10%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
VAL
1 - 3
VIL
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
VAL
1 - 1
MLL
70%
20%
10%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
ALB
2 - 1
VAL
64%
25%
11%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
VAL
1 - 1
CFC
64%
23%
13%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Jove Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
JOV
4 - 2
ALC
45%
31%
24%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
UDQ
4 - 1
JOV
35%
28%
38%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -3 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
ATB
2 - 2
JOV
61%
23%
16%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
JOV
2 - 2
ALC
49%
30%
22%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
ALM
4 - 0
JOV
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |