Valencia Mestalla vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
MLL
1 - 0
VAL
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1968 |
VAL
3 - 0
ALC
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
CAD
1 - 0
VAL
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1968 |
VAL
2 - 0
LEV
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
PUE
1 - 0
VAL
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
HER
6 - 0
CEU
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
CAS
2 - 1
HER
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
HER
4 - 0
RJA
80%
14%
7%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
CDT
4 - 1
HER
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
MLL
0 - 1
HER
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |