Valencia Mestalla vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
VAL
3 - 3
BUR
79%
13%
8%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1961 |
VAL
0 - 2
LEV
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
MAL
3 - 1
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1961 |
VAL
2 - 0
REC
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1961 |
BUR
2 - 1
VAL
36%
23%
41%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
PUL
2 - 1
HER
60%
19%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
CEU
2 - 2
HER
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
HER
3 - 1
SFE
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
VIL
1 - 0
HER
37%
24%
39%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
HER
4 - 1
PUL
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |