Valencia Mestalla vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
44.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ELC
0 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 1
OLI
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
HUR
2 - 2
VAL
55%
25%
20%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 0
ELD
63%
22%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MLL
2 - 1
VAL
37%
25%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GIM
0 - 0
HER
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ATB
0 - 1
GIM
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
GIM
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GIM
1 - 1
BAD
67%
22%
12%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
GIM
0 - 0
ATB
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |