Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-3
Valencia Mestalla vs CF Gandia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
VAL
2 - 1
TER
68%
21%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
VIN
2 - 1
VAL
34%
29%
36%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
GAN
2 - 0
VAL
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
VAL
1 - 1
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
UDM
1 - 1
VAL
26%
32%
43%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
CF Gandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
GAN
2 - 0
ALZ
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
ONT
2 - 1
GAN
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
GAN
2 - 0
VAL
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
GAN
1 - 1
GIR
41%
31%
28%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
TER
1 - 0
GAN
67%
22%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |