Valencia Mestalla vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.97
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.7%
4.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
CAR
2 - 1
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
VAL
1 - 3
RSO
29%
22%
49%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
MUR
4 - 3
VAL
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1949 |
VAL
0 - 1
MAL
53%
21%
26%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
HER
4 - 1
VAL
76%
14%
10%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
ELC
4 - 3
MLL
33%
22%
46%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
CAA
6 - 1
ELC
50%
21%
29%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -3 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
ELC
7 - 0
NAV
81%
11%
8%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
CIE
0 - 1
ELC
39%
23%
38%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ELC
1 - 0
IMP
78%
13%
10%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |