Valencia Mestalla vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
5º
3º
7
3º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 64 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 63 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 53 |
3º
|
8.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 53 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 53 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 51 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 51 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 51 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 49 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 45 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 43 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 43 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 40 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 40 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 39 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 39 |
16º
|
9% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 35 |
17º
|
21% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 28 |
18º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
36% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 65.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ALZ
0 - 1
VAL
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 0
OLO
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
TER
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
ZAR
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 2
TCF
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ELC
3 - 1
BAD
17%
24%
59%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TER
1 - 1
ELC
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ELC
4 - 1
CAS
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ELC
0 - 3
MEL
25%
26%
49%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ELC
3 - 3
CAL
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |