Valencia Mestalla vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
GAV
0 - 0
VAL
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
BEN
1 - 2
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
FCB
27%
27%
45%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
BAD
1 - 1
VAL
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 1
ORI
34%
28%
37%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
DEN
3 - 0
TER
56%
25%
20%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
DEN
0 - 3
LLE
53%
26%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
ONT
3 - 1
DEN
52%
27%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
DEN
1 - 1
VIJ
50%
27%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 4
DEN
66%
21%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |