Valencia Mestalla vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
REC
2 - 1
VAL
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1964 |
VAL
3 - 0
CDT
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
MLL
1 - 0
VAL
63%
20%
18%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1964 |
VAL
1 - 2
GRA
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
ONT
2 - 2
VAL
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
SFE
3 - 1
MEL
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
ALG
3 - 1
SFE
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
SFE
2 - 2
HER
34%
28%
39%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
SFE
1 - 0
IND
62%
21%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
MAL
5 - 0
SFE
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |