Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-1
Valencia Mestalla vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
VAL
0 - 1
VIN
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
ASP
1 - 1
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
ALC
2 - 0
VAL
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
VAL
4 - 0
ASP
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
UDQ
0 - 4
VAL
29%
28%
42%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
MNC
0 - 1
CON
46%
28%
26%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
CON
2 - 0
BVA
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
ADC
2 - 0
CON
54%
25%
22%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
CON
0 - 0
XIL
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
SLL
0 - 0
CON
30%
30%
41%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |