Valencia Mestalla vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
VAL
0 - 2
GRA
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
HOS
1 - 3
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
VAL
3 - 3
SAB
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
LLE
2 - 1
VAL
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
VAL
2 - 1
GIM
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
CIU
3 - 1
CAS
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
CAS
0 - 0
CIU
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 3
CAS
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
CAS
2 - 0
PON
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
PON
2 - 2
CAS
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |