Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-4
Valencia Mestalla vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
45%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
VAL
2 - 1
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
DEN
1 - 0
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
VAL
1 - 1
ALZ
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1980 |
CAS
4 - 1
VAL
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 66 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
JOV
2 - 0
VAL
50%
27%
23%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
CAS
3 - 1
CAD
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
MAL
0 - 0
CAS
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
CAS
1 - 1
ALA
63%
23%
15%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1980 |
CAS
4 - 1
VAL
85%
10%
5%
|
66 | 32 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAS
47%
29%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |