Valencia Mestalla vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
GIR
2 - 1
VAL
57%
21%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1949 |
VAL
1 - 0
LEV
49%
20%
31%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
VAL
1 - 2
ALC
33%
20%
47%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
BAD
2 - 1
VAL
72%
15%
13%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
RSO
2 - 0
VAL
81%
11%
7%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
CAS
4 - 1
SPO
45%
23%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
RAC
4 - 4
CAS
52%
20%
28%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
AZA
2 - 1
CAS
20%
19%
61%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAS
43%
22%
35%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
CAS
1 - 0
GRA
50%
22%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |